Race 2A

george-morris

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Emily Dellenbaugh 8.0% 7.9% 7.9% 10.0% 8.6% 8.7% 9.2% 9.2% 8.2% 8.7% 7.2% 5.0% 1.4%
Kyle Carney 7.2% 7.4% 6.6% 9.6% 7.8% 9.3% 8.8% 7.9% 8.5% 9.0% 9.6% 6.1% 2.2%
Andrew Meleny 3.5% 4.5% 5.5% 6.6% 6.9% 5.9% 6.1% 8.6% 9.6% 9.3% 12.6% 14.2% 6.7%
Alex Cook 12.7% 12.4% 12.4% 10.1% 10.0% 10.0% 7.4% 7.6% 7.0% 5.3% 3.2% 1.4% 0.5%
Ben Greenfield 15.8% 16.9% 13.0% 9.7% 11.3% 8.7% 7.1% 5.6% 4.2% 3.4% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1%
Connor Needham 8.2% 9.3% 9.8% 8.5% 8.0% 9.2% 8.8% 7.9% 8.4% 7.7% 6.7% 6.2% 1.3%
Colin Santangelo 6.7% 5.7% 5.6% 6.9% 5.6% 5.1% 8.1% 8.0% 8.8% 11.5% 10.7% 12.3% 5.0%
Bernie Roesler 9.4% 10.0% 10.7% 8.2% 9.1% 10.4% 10.4% 8.3% 7.8% 6.9% 4.8% 3.3% 0.7%
Krysta Rohde 7.3% 6.4% 6.6% 7.0% 9.2% 7.8% 8.3% 10.6% 8.2% 8.7% 8.3% 8.7% 2.9%
Quentin Chafee 7.2% 4.6% 6.2% 7.0% 7.7% 8.0% 8.2% 8.2% 8.8% 8.8% 9.7% 10.5% 5.1%
Conor Lodge 4.4% 5.0% 5.1% 6.1% 6.1% 6.8% 7.0% 7.0% 9.1% 11.0% 11.5% 14.2% 6.7%
Max Nickbarg 8.8% 9.1% 9.7% 9.3% 8.4% 8.4% 8.8% 9.6% 8.8% 6.9% 7.0% 4.0% 1.2%
Jared Dunn 0.8% 0.8% 0.9% 1.0% 1.3% 1.7% 1.8% 1.5% 2.6% 2.8% 5.2% 13.4% 66.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.