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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College2.35+6.96vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.90+7.89vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.47+4.39vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.57+6.88vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.34+2.77vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.35+1.77vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.35+0.75vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.95+1.37vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.78+1.10vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.13-1.04vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.32-2.98vs Predicted
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12Cornell University1.05+1.32vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64-6.50vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-6.64vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23-6.86vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College1.10-3.08vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07-3.96vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College0.76-4.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.96SUNY Maritime College2.350.1%1st Place
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9.89Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
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7.39University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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10.88U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.570.0%1st Place
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7.77Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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7.77Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
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7.75University of Pennsylvania2.350.1%1st Place
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9.37U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.950.1%1st Place
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10.1Fordham University1.780.0%1st Place
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8.96University of Pennsylvania2.130.1%1st Place
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8.02Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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13.32Cornell University1.050.0%1st Place
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6.5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.1%1st Place
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7.36Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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8.14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.1%1st Place
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12.92SUNY Maritime College1.100.0%1st Place
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13.04U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
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13.85SUNY Maritime College0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Barnes | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Patrick Dolan | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 2.9% |
| Jackson McAliley | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Lars Osell | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% |
| Winborne Majette | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Jacob Zils | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Javier Garcon | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Jack Vanderhorst | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Beckett Kumler | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 2.6% |
| Cole Woodworth | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| Sophia Devling | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Jack Merrill | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 14.8% | 20.4% |
| Will Murray | 11.2% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% |
| JJ Klempen | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 16.7% |
| Reed McAllister | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 17.7% |
| Ben Hosford | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 16.6% | 24.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.