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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64+5.84vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.78+8.41vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.34+5.02vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.47+3.19vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.90+4.53vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College2.35+1.77vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23+1.24vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.57+2.89vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-1.47vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.05+3.20vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.95-1.46vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.13-3.01vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.32-5.27vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.35-6.52vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07-2.10vs Predicted
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16Fordham University2.35-8.10vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College1.10-4.01vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College0.76-4.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.84Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.1%1st Place
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10.41Fordham University1.780.0%1st Place
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8.02Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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7.19University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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9.53Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
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7.77SUNY Maritime College2.350.1%1st Place
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8.24Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.1%1st Place
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10.89U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.570.0%1st Place
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7.53Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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13.2Cornell University1.050.0%1st Place
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9.54U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.950.0%1st Place
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8.99University of Pennsylvania2.130.0%1st Place
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7.73Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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7.48University of Pennsylvania2.350.1%1st Place
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12.9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
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7.9Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
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12.99SUNY Maritime College1.100.0%1st Place
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13.84SUNY Maritime College0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Murray | 8.8% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Beckett Kumler | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 2.6% |
| Winborne Majette | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Jackson McAliley | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Patrick Dolan | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
| Spencer Barnes | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| JJ Klempen | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Lars Osell | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 5.6% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Jack Merrill | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 14.4% | 18.6% |
| Jack Vanderhorst | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.0% |
| Cole Woodworth | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Sophia Devling | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Javier Garcon | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Reed McAllister | 2.4% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 13.8% | 16.6% |
| Jacob Zils | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 16.9% |
| Ben Hosford | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 14.7% | 26.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.