Race 3A

george-morris

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Ben Greenfield 15.6% 14.8% 13.6% 10.1% 10.4% 8.9% 8.6% 6.5% 4.2% 3.8% 1.8% 1.5% 0.2%
Colin Santangelo 5.3% 4.8% 6.4% 6.5% 6.2% 6.3% 8.9% 7.6% 7.5% 12.1% 11.4% 12.5% 4.5%
Emily Dellenbaugh 7.2% 8.9% 9.8% 7.2% 7.5% 11.1% 8.3% 9.9% 8.0% 8.2% 7.5% 5.0% 1.4%
Andrew Meleny 4.4% 4.6% 5.2% 5.7% 6.5% 6.8% 6.3% 8.0% 8.4% 10.2% 12.1% 15.3% 6.5%
Connor Needham 8.4% 9.9% 8.4% 9.5% 8.1% 7.6% 8.3% 8.4% 10.8% 7.8% 5.7% 5.6% 1.5%
Bernie Roesler 9.9% 10.6% 9.5% 10.2% 8.7% 11.0% 8.8% 6.6% 8.6% 5.5% 5.3% 4.5% 0.8%
Alex Cook 13.3% 12.6% 11.1% 10.5% 11.3% 9.6% 7.7% 6.1% 6.0% 6.3% 3.0% 2.0% 0.5%
Krysta Rohde 7.7% 7.7% 6.5% 8.4% 6.9% 9.4% 8.5% 9.7% 7.6% 9.2% 8.7% 6.7% 3.0%
Kyle Carney 7.3% 7.1% 7.1% 10.4% 6.6% 7.5% 8.9% 10.9% 8.7% 6.4% 7.9% 8.8% 2.4%
Quentin Chafee 7.1% 5.1% 6.5% 6.5% 8.4% 7.0% 7.8% 7.7% 7.8% 10.4% 11.6% 9.7% 4.4%
Conor Lodge 4.5% 4.3% 5.5% 5.5% 7.2% 5.3% 8.2% 7.2% 10.1% 9.1% 12.3% 14.4% 6.4%
Jared Dunn 0.8% 0.7% 0.9% 1.4% 1.5% 1.2% 1.4% 1.9% 3.4% 3.8% 5.6% 10.4% 67.0%
Max Nickbarg 8.5% 8.9% 9.5% 8.1% 10.7% 8.3% 8.3% 9.5% 8.9% 7.2% 7.1% 3.6% 1.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.