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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University0.89+0.85vs Predicted
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2Princeton University0.34+0.39vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.73+0.86vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-1.57+1.07vs Predicted
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5Washington College-0.87-0.94vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University-1.67-0.82vs Predicted
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7Monmouth University-2.08-1.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.85George Washington University0.890.5%1st Place
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2.39Princeton University0.340.3%1st Place
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3.86U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.730.1%1st Place
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5.07University of Delaware-1.570.0%1st Place
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4.06Washington College-0.870.1%1st Place
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5.18Rutgers University-1.670.0%1st Place
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5.59Monmouth University-2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tryg van Wyk | 48.7% | 28.9% | 14.0% | 6.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Jasper Waldman | 27.8% | 32.9% | 20.7% | 11.7% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 7.9% | 12.5% | 22.2% | 21.8% | 20.0% | 10.3% | 5.3% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 2.5% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 14.6% | 20.0% | 25.9% | 21.5% |
| Austin Latimer | 6.9% | 11.3% | 18.7% | 22.1% | 20.4% | 14.3% | 6.3% |
| Kate Faranetta | 3.4% | 4.1% | 8.9% | 13.9% | 19.1% | 25.2% | 25.4% |
| Sarah Ward | 2.8% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 14.1% | 22.1% | 41.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.