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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.73+2.77vs Predicted
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2George Washington University0.89-0.15vs Predicted
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3Princeton University0.34-0.58vs Predicted
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4Washington College-0.87+0.10vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-1.57+0.06vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University-1.67-0.81vs Predicted
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7Monmouth University-2.08-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.77U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.730.1%1st Place
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1.85George Washington University0.890.5%1st Place
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2.42Princeton University0.340.3%1st Place
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4.1Washington College-0.870.1%1st Place
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5.06University of Delaware-1.570.0%1st Place
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5.19Rutgers University-1.670.0%1st Place
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5.61Monmouth University-2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oscar Gilroy | 10.0% | 12.7% | 23.3% | 20.0% | 17.3% | 11.8% | 4.9% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 47.7% | 30.6% | 13.7% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Waldman | 27.0% | 31.1% | 22.9% | 12.3% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Austin Latimer | 6.6% | 11.0% | 18.0% | 21.6% | 21.5% | 15.7% | 5.6% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 3.4% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 15.3% | 22.1% | 22.7% | 22.7% |
| Kate Faranetta | 2.6% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 14.5% | 19.7% | 24.9% | 25.1% |
| Sarah Ward | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 23.1% | 41.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.