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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University0.34+1.44vs Predicted
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2George Washington University0.89-0.14vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.73+0.85vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-1.57+1.08vs Predicted
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5Monmouth University-2.08+0.70vs Predicted
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6Washington College-0.87-1.96vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-1.67-1.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.44Princeton University0.340.3%1st Place
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1.86George Washington University0.890.5%1st Place
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3.85U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.730.1%1st Place
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5.08University of Delaware-1.570.0%1st Place
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5.7Monmouth University-2.080.0%1st Place
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4.04Washington College-0.870.1%1st Place
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5.03Rutgers University-1.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasper Waldman | 28.4% | 29.7% | 21.9% | 12.3% | 5.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 46.9% | 32.0% | 12.9% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 9.2% | 11.4% | 20.7% | 24.6% | 17.2% | 11.5% | 5.4% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 2.7% | 5.9% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 21.4% | 24.8% | 22.3% |
| Sarah Ward | 1.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 21.9% | 43.0% |
| Austin Latimer | 7.1% | 11.8% | 19.3% | 21.1% | 20.4% | 13.5% | 6.8% |
| Kate Faranetta | 4.3% | 5.4% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 18.7% | 26.4% | 21.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.