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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University0.89+0.86vs Predicted
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2Princeton University0.34+0.40vs Predicted
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3Washington College-0.87+1.06vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-1.57+1.10vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.73-1.15vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-2.08-0.31vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-1.67-1.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.86George Washington University0.890.5%1st Place
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2.4Princeton University0.340.3%1st Place
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4.06Washington College-0.870.1%1st Place
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5.1University of Delaware-1.570.0%1st Place
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3.85U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.730.1%1st Place
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5.69Monmouth University-2.080.0%1st Place
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5.03Rutgers University-1.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tryg van Wyk | 48.2% | 28.3% | 15.4% | 5.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jasper Waldman | 28.2% | 31.6% | 21.3% | 12.1% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Austin Latimer | 7.1% | 10.8% | 18.4% | 23.7% | 19.7% | 13.5% | 6.8% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 2.5% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 20.9% | 24.6% | 23.0% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 8.0% | 14.3% | 20.3% | 21.4% | 19.3% | 11.2% | 5.5% |
| Sarah Ward | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 11.2% | 14.7% | 21.5% | 42.8% |
| Kate Faranetta | 3.7% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 19.1% | 26.9% | 21.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.