← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Princeton University0.34+1.47vs Predicted
-
2George Washington University0.89-0.15vs Predicted
-
3Washington College-0.87+1.04vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.73-0.15vs Predicted
-
5Monmouth University-2.08+0.72vs Predicted
-
6University of Delaware-1.57-1.00vs Predicted
-
7Rutgers University-1.67-1.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.47Princeton University0.340.3%1st Place
-
1.85George Washington University0.890.5%1st Place
-
4.04Washington College-0.870.1%1st Place
-
3.85U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.730.1%1st Place
-
5.72Monmouth University-2.080.0%1st Place
-
5.0University of Delaware-1.570.0%1st Place
-
5.06Rutgers University-1.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasper Waldman | 28.1% | 29.0% | 21.4% | 13.6% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 46.6% | 31.7% | 14.7% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Austin Latimer | 7.9% | 10.3% | 19.1% | 22.8% | 19.6% | 13.4% | 6.9% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 8.7% | 13.5% | 20.1% | 20.7% | 20.3% | 12.3% | 4.4% |
| Sarah Ward | 1.3% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 9.4% | 14.3% | 21.5% | 44.0% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 3.2% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 16.5% | 20.3% | 23.1% | 21.6% |
| Kate Faranetta | 4.2% | 5.6% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 17.7% | 27.4% | 22.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.