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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University0.89+0.90vs Predicted
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2Princeton University0.34+0.40vs Predicted
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3Washington College-0.87+1.06vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.73-0.15vs Predicted
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5Monmouth University-2.08+0.71vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-1.57-0.99vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-1.67-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.9George Washington University0.890.5%1st Place
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2.4Princeton University0.340.3%1st Place
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4.06Washington College-0.870.1%1st Place
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3.85U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.730.1%1st Place
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5.71Monmouth University-2.080.0%1st Place
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5.01University of Delaware-1.570.0%1st Place
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5.07Rutgers University-1.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tryg van Wyk | 47.4% | 28.6% | 14.9% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Jasper Waldman | 27.6% | 32.0% | 22.4% | 11.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Austin Latimer | 7.3% | 10.7% | 18.2% | 23.4% | 20.0% | 13.5% | 6.9% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 8.2% | 13.8% | 20.4% | 20.8% | 20.4% | 11.9% | 4.5% |
| Sarah Ward | 2.0% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 9.4% | 14.3% | 21.1% | 44.2% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 3.7% | 5.1% | 9.7% | 15.5% | 21.5% | 22.9% | 21.6% |
| Kate Faranetta | 3.8% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 13.4% | 17.7% | 27.5% | 22.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.