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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.73+2.77vs Predicted
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2George Washington University0.89-0.15vs Predicted
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3Princeton University0.34-0.58vs Predicted
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4Washington College-0.87+0.09vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-1.57+0.07vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-2.08-0.28vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-1.67-1.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.77U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.730.1%1st Place
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1.85George Washington University0.890.5%1st Place
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2.42Princeton University0.340.3%1st Place
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4.09Washington College-0.870.1%1st Place
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5.07University of Delaware-1.570.0%1st Place
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5.72Monmouth University-2.080.0%1st Place
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5.08Rutgers University-1.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oscar Gilroy | 9.8% | 12.8% | 23.2% | 20.7% | 16.9% | 11.6% | 5.0% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 47.6% | 30.4% | 14.1% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Waldman | 26.8% | 31.5% | 22.9% | 11.8% | 5.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Austin Latimer | 6.7% | 10.8% | 18.2% | 22.0% | 21.0% | 15.6% | 5.7% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 3.4% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 15.1% | 22.1% | 22.3% | 23.2% |
| Sarah Ward | 1.8% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 10.1% | 15.1% | 20.7% | 44.1% |
| Kate Faranetta | 3.9% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 14.7% | 17.4% | 28.3% | 21.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.