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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Monmouth University-0.52+2.05vs Predicted
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2George Washington University-0.12+0.55vs Predicted
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3Washington College-0.38-0.09vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-0.73-0.55vs Predicted
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5Rutgers University-2.05+0.23vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.39-1.64vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-3.44-0.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.05Monmouth University-0.520.2%1st Place
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2.55George Washington University-0.120.3%1st Place
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2.91Washington College-0.380.2%1st Place
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3.45Princeton University-0.730.2%1st Place
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5.23Rutgers University-2.050.0%1st Place
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4.36U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.390.1%1st Place
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6.44University of Delaware-3.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Cashin | 20.7% | 21.3% | 19.6% | 16.4% | 15.4% | 5.6% | 1.0% |
| Eva Wieting | 27.8% | 26.7% | 21.7% | 13.3% | 7.6% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Patrick Tis | 22.0% | 22.0% | 21.0% | 19.0% | 11.2% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| William Roberts | 16.6% | 15.5% | 16.6% | 21.7% | 18.1% | 10.5% | 1.0% |
| Marlon Wool | 3.8% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 17.6% | 40.3% | 17.7% |
| Fordham Smith | 7.8% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 17.8% | 24.9% | 23.7% | 5.3% |
| Elise Singletary | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 13.7% | 73.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.