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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Monmouth University-0.52+2.23vs Predicted
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2Princeton University-0.73+1.50vs Predicted
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3George Washington University-0.12-0.40vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.39+0.58vs Predicted
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5Washington College-0.38-1.93vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University-2.05-0.54vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-2.19-1.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.23Monmouth University-0.520.2%1st Place
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3.5Princeton University-0.730.1%1st Place
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2.6George Washington University-0.120.3%1st Place
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4.58U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.390.1%1st Place
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3.07Washington College-0.380.2%1st Place
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5.46Rutgers University-2.050.0%1st Place
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5.55University of Delaware-2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Cashin | 20.5% | 19.2% | 17.4% | 17.2% | 14.1% | 8.7% | 2.9% |
| William Roberts | 13.9% | 18.1% | 18.2% | 20.3% | 16.9% | 8.2% | 4.4% |
| Eva Wieting | 29.7% | 23.7% | 20.0% | 14.7% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 0.6% |
| Fordham Smith | 6.6% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 20.6% | 22.7% | 14.4% |
| Patrick Tis | 21.6% | 21.2% | 19.0% | 16.7% | 12.3% | 6.7% | 2.5% |
| Marlon Wool | 4.2% | 3.1% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 15.5% | 25.6% | 34.9% |
| Laura MacMillan | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 13.2% | 24.2% | 40.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.