Race 4A

george-morris

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Max Nickbarg 9.9% 8.5% 9.6% 9.9% 9.5% 8.8% 7.7% 8.8% 8.5% 7.7% 4.8% 4.7% 1.6%
Ben Greenfield 14.5% 15.2% 12.6% 12.2% 10.5% 9.6% 6.8% 6.5% 4.8% 3.7% 2.3% 1.2% 0.1%
Alex Cook 11.9% 12.3% 11.8% 10.7% 10.9% 9.5% 9.2% 7.6% 5.2% 5.4% 3.0% 1.9% 0.6%
Conor Lodge 3.4% 4.6% 5.3% 4.9% 6.2% 7.0% 7.2% 6.4% 8.3% 10.4% 13.4% 14.2% 8.7%
Connor Needham 9.1% 9.3% 9.3% 8.7% 9.2% 6.8% 9.0% 9.2% 8.9% 6.1% 7.8% 5.0% 1.6%
Kyle Carney 8.3% 7.8% 7.8% 8.6% 9.0% 8.4% 9.1% 7.8% 8.4% 8.2% 8.6% 5.7% 2.3%
Quentin Chafee 7.0% 5.4% 7.2% 7.0% 5.6% 7.1% 8.4% 8.6% 8.6% 11.5% 10.2% 9.6% 3.8%
Emily Dellenbaugh 8.4% 9.0% 8.7% 8.1% 7.4% 9.8% 8.7% 10.2% 8.9% 7.5% 6.8% 5.4% 1.1%
Colin Santangelo 5.5% 5.5% 4.9% 6.7% 5.8% 6.6% 7.3% 8.7% 8.6% 10.8% 9.7% 14.3% 5.6%
Andrew Meleny 5.7% 5.1% 4.8% 5.8% 6.8% 6.8% 7.3% 6.6% 8.2% 9.6% 11.8% 14.0% 7.5%
Jared Dunn 0.7% 0.9% 0.7% 1.0% 1.7% 1.7% 2.3% 3.4% 3.0% 2.8% 5.9% 12.4% 63.5%
Bernie Roesler 9.1% 9.5% 10.1% 9.4% 8.6% 9.1% 8.8% 7.8% 9.1% 7.6% 5.6% 4.0% 1.3%
Krysta Rohde 6.5% 6.9% 7.2% 7.0% 8.8% 8.8% 8.2% 8.4% 9.5% 8.7% 10.1% 7.6% 2.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.