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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College-0.38+1.79vs Predicted
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2Monmouth University-0.52+1.02vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-0.73+0.34vs Predicted
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4George Washington University-0.12-1.46vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.39-0.70vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University-2.60-0.31vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-3.44-0.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.79Washington College-0.380.3%1st Place
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3.02Monmouth University-0.520.2%1st Place
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3.34Princeton University-0.730.2%1st Place
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2.54George Washington University-0.120.3%1st Place
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4.3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.390.1%1st Place
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5.69Rutgers University-2.600.0%1st Place
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6.32University of Delaware-3.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Tis | 25.2% | 23.3% | 20.2% | 15.5% | 11.1% | 4.3% | 0.4% |
| Patrick Cashin | 19.2% | 21.8% | 21.3% | 18.7% | 14.0% | 4.4% | 0.6% |
| William Roberts | 15.8% | 16.5% | 21.0% | 20.2% | 18.0% | 7.6% | 0.9% |
| Eva Wieting | 30.0% | 23.8% | 19.6% | 17.4% | 7.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Fordham Smith | 6.0% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 18.2% | 30.5% | 17.4% | 5.3% |
| Ralph Molinari | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 13.7% | 42.7% | 28.5% |
| Elise Singletary | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 22.1% | 64.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.