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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Monmouth University-0.52+2.11vs Predicted
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2Washington College-0.38+0.93vs Predicted
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3George Washington University-0.12-0.41vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-0.73-0.50vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-2.19+0.53vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.39-1.54vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-2.60-1.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.11Monmouth University-0.520.2%1st Place
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2.93Washington College-0.380.2%1st Place
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2.59George Washington University-0.120.3%1st Place
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3.5Princeton University-0.730.2%1st Place
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5.53University of Delaware-2.190.0%1st Place
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4.46U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.390.1%1st Place
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5.88Rutgers University-2.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Cashin | 20.3% | 21.2% | 18.2% | 17.7% | 14.2% | 6.6% | 1.8% |
| Patrick Tis | 22.5% | 21.0% | 21.7% | 17.7% | 10.6% | 5.6% | 0.9% |
| Eva Wieting | 27.3% | 26.5% | 21.9% | 13.5% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| William Roberts | 15.9% | 15.8% | 16.7% | 20.1% | 19.1% | 10.0% | 2.4% |
| Laura MacMillan | 3.5% | 3.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 14.5% | 31.5% | 32.8% |
| Fordham Smith | 7.7% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 16.8% | 24.8% | 20.4% | 10.6% |
| Ralph Molinari | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 22.3% | 51.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.