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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.22+0.42vs Predicted
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2Washington College-0.38+0.80vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-0.73+0.27vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.39+0.15vs Predicted
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5Rutgers University-2.05-0.05vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-3.44+0.40vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-2.19-1.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.42George Washington University1.220.7%1st Place
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2.8Washington College-0.380.1%1st Place
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3.27Princeton University-0.730.1%1st Place
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4.15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.390.0%1st Place
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4.95Rutgers University-2.050.0%1st Place
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6.4Monmouth University-3.440.0%1st Place
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5.01University of Delaware-2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 69.4% | 21.9% | 6.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Tis | 13.4% | 31.4% | 28.7% | 17.0% | 7.1% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| William Roberts | 8.7% | 22.6% | 27.1% | 23.1% | 12.1% | 6.0% | 0.4% |
| Fordham Smith | 3.1% | 12.3% | 17.4% | 23.8% | 24.1% | 15.7% | 3.6% |
| Marlon Wool | 2.7% | 4.7% | 8.8% | 17.4% | 25.3% | 27.3% | 13.8% |
| Abigail Eck | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 15.5% | 69.1% |
| Laura MacMillan | 2.3% | 5.5% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 23.6% | 33.3% | 12.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.