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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College-0.38+1.69vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.22-0.59vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.39+0.78vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-0.73-0.92vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-3.44+1.03vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-3.44+0.02vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-2.60-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.69Washington College-0.380.1%1st Place
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1.41George Washington University1.220.7%1st Place
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3.78U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.390.1%1st Place
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3.08Princeton University-0.730.1%1st Place
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6.03University of Delaware-3.440.0%1st Place
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6.02Monmouth University-3.440.0%1st Place
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4.99Rutgers University-2.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Tis | 14.2% | 34.5% | 28.3% | 16.1% | 5.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 68.7% | 23.5% | 6.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Fordham Smith | 6.0% | 10.0% | 21.7% | 33.5% | 20.7% | 7.1% | 1.0% |
| William Roberts | 8.6% | 24.4% | 30.8% | 24.7% | 9.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Elise Singletary | 0.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 6.1% | 14.6% | 29.8% | 45.2% |
| Abigail Eck | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 14.3% | 33.5% | 42.4% |
| Ralph Molinari | 1.7% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 13.0% | 35.0% | 26.9% | 10.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.