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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.22+0.43vs Predicted
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2Princeton University-0.73+1.15vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.39+0.99vs Predicted
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4Washington College-0.38-1.20vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-2.19-0.02vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-3.44+0.30vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-2.60-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.43George Washington University1.220.7%1st Place
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3.15Princeton University-0.730.1%1st Place
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3.99U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.390.1%1st Place
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2.8Washington College-0.380.1%1st Place
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4.98University of Delaware-2.190.0%1st Place
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6.3Monmouth University-3.440.0%1st Place
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5.35Rutgers University-2.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 66.8% | 25.4% | 6.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Roberts | 9.4% | 24.0% | 29.6% | 20.8% | 12.1% | 3.8% | 0.3% |
| Fordham Smith | 5.6% | 10.1% | 19.2% | 27.7% | 21.9% | 13.1% | 2.4% |
| Patrick Tis | 13.8% | 31.9% | 26.4% | 18.3% | 7.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Laura MacMillan | 2.0% | 4.4% | 8.7% | 16.8% | 28.4% | 25.7% | 14.0% |
| Abigail Eck | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 9.9% | 19.3% | 62.7% |
| Ralph Molinari | 1.8% | 2.9% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 19.7% | 36.5% | 20.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.