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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.18+1.95vs Predicted
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2Hampton University1.77-0.52vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-1.14+1.84vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech0.18-1.05vs Predicted
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5American University-1.49+0.37vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-0.58-1.92vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-1.56-1.57vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University-0.54-4.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.95Virginia Tech0.180.1%1st Place
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1.48Hampton University1.770.7%1st Place
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4.84University of Maryland-1.140.0%1st Place
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2.95Virginia Tech0.180.1%1st Place
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5.37American University-1.490.0%1st Place
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4.08William and Mary-0.580.1%1st Place
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5.43Catholic University of America-1.560.0%1st Place
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3.86Christopher Newport University-0.540.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Young | 14.3% | 31.0% | 22.7% | 16.7% | 10.1% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 65.5% | 24.0% | 8.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Thonnard | 4.2% | 5.9% | 12.8% | 15.4% | 20.5% | 22.5% | 18.7% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 14.3% | 31.0% | 22.7% | 16.7% | 10.1% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Arey | 1.9% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 14.9% | 26.7% | 31.1% | 0.0% |
| Eric Johnson | 5.4% | 12.6% | 20.0% | 21.7% | 18.7% | 13.8% | 7.8% | 0.0% |
| Benedict Gorman | 2.0% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 16.1% | 22.7% | 35.3% | 0.0% |
| Noah Hubbard | 6.7% | 15.6% | 20.0% | 22.3% | 19.4% | 10.5% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.