← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hampton University1.77+0.48vs Predicted
-
2Virginia Tech0.18+0.95vs Predicted
-
3Virginia Tech0.18-0.05vs Predicted
-
4University of Maryland-1.14+0.84vs Predicted
-
5American University-1.49+0.40vs Predicted
-
6William and Mary-0.58-1.94vs Predicted
-
7Catholic University of America-1.56-1.56vs Predicted
-
8Christopher Newport University-0.54-4.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.48Hampton University1.770.7%1st Place
-
2.95Virginia Tech0.180.1%1st Place
-
2.95Virginia Tech0.180.1%1st Place
-
4.84University of Maryland-1.140.0%1st Place
-
5.4American University-1.490.0%1st Place
-
4.06William and Mary-0.580.1%1st Place
-
5.44Catholic University of America-1.560.0%1st Place
-
3.84Christopher Newport University-0.540.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerio Palamara | 67.0% | 22.2% | 7.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 12.7% | 31.1% | 25.5% | 16.2% | 9.4% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 12.7% | 31.1% | 25.5% | 16.2% | 9.4% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Thonnard | 3.6% | 7.7% | 11.6% | 15.4% | 20.3% | 22.9% | 18.5% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Arey | 1.0% | 5.3% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 15.1% | 26.3% | 31.7% | 0.0% |
| Eric Johnson | 5.6% | 13.6% | 20.3% | 19.0% | 20.4% | 13.5% | 7.6% | 0.0% |
| Benedict Gorman | 2.4% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 23.3% | 35.3% | 0.0% |
| Noah Hubbard | 7.7% | 15.8% | 18.2% | 22.6% | 20.0% | 10.3% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.