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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.77+0.48vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.18+0.96vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-1.14+1.85vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.58+0.07vs Predicted
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5American University-1.49+0.34vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech0.18-3.04vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University-0.54-3.02vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-1.56-2.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.48Hampton University1.770.7%1st Place
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2.96Virginia Tech0.180.1%1st Place
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4.85University of Maryland-1.140.0%1st Place
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4.07William and Mary-0.580.0%1st Place
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5.34American University-1.490.0%1st Place
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2.96Virginia Tech0.180.1%1st Place
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3.98Christopher Newport University-0.540.1%1st Place
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5.34Catholic University of America-1.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerio Palamara | 66.2% | 24.0% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 13.3% | 30.2% | 25.1% | 16.7% | 9.1% | 4.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Thonnard | 4.2% | 6.7% | 11.9% | 16.0% | 20.0% | 21.1% | 20.1% | 0.0% |
| Eric Johnson | 4.9% | 14.7% | 17.6% | 22.1% | 19.9% | 14.1% | 6.7% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Arey | 2.5% | 4.6% | 8.7% | 12.7% | 16.8% | 22.0% | 32.7% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 13.3% | 30.2% | 25.1% | 16.7% | 9.1% | 4.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Hubbard | 6.6% | 13.4% | 21.9% | 19.3% | 17.9% | 14.4% | 6.5% | 0.0% |
| Benedict Gorman | 2.3% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 15.9% | 23.8% | 32.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.