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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.77+0.46vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland-1.14+2.87vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.180.00vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.58+0.08vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech0.18-2.00vs Predicted
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6American University-1.49-0.63vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-1.56-1.55vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University-0.54-4.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.46Hampton University1.770.7%1st Place
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4.87University of Maryland-1.140.0%1st Place
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3.0Virginia Tech0.180.1%1st Place
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4.08William and Mary-0.580.1%1st Place
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3.0Virginia Tech0.180.1%1st Place
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5.37American University-1.490.0%1st Place
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5.45Catholic University of America-1.560.0%1st Place
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3.77Christopher Newport University-0.540.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerio Palamara | 66.7% | 23.1% | 7.6% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Thonnard | 3.4% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 15.5% | 20.3% | 23.1% | 18.9% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 11.7% | 29.6% | 27.5% | 16.0% | 9.8% | 4.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Eric Johnson | 5.2% | 14.0% | 17.9% | 22.1% | 19.0% | 15.1% | 6.7% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 11.7% | 29.6% | 27.5% | 16.0% | 9.8% | 4.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Arey | 2.3% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 16.6% | 22.9% | 33.5% | 0.0% |
| Benedict Gorman | 2.4% | 3.9% | 7.3% | 12.7% | 15.0% | 23.4% | 35.3% | 0.0% |
| Noah Hubbard | 8.3% | 16.4% | 19.9% | 20.7% | 19.0% | 11.0% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.