Race 5A

george-morris

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Bernie Roesler 10.1% 8.2% 10.5% 9.8% 8.9% 9.3% 9.7% 9.0% 7.3% 6.8% 5.5% 4.0% 0.9%
Max Nickbarg 8.1% 10.2% 9.3% 9.4% 8.3% 10.6% 7.6% 9.7% 7.2% 7.7% 6.8% 3.8% 1.3%
Alex Cook 11.2% 12.4% 13.8% 10.2% 9.8% 9.5% 9.8% 7.0% 5.5% 4.9% 3.9% 1.6% 0.4%
Ben Greenfield 15.6% 14.6% 12.0% 12.8% 9.3% 8.6% 8.2% 7.0% 5.5% 3.6% 1.8% 0.7% 0.3%
Connor Needham 8.6% 9.0% 9.2% 9.2% 8.9% 7.1% 9.5% 9.1% 8.1% 7.5% 6.3% 5.6% 1.9%
Colin Santangelo 6.4% 4.0% 5.8% 6.4% 7.2% 6.5% 7.1% 8.3% 9.9% 10.6% 10.6% 12.2% 5.0%
Krysta Rohde 8.4% 8.1% 7.6% 7.4% 7.6% 8.1% 8.8% 8.0% 8.6% 8.6% 9.6% 7.3% 1.9%
Quentin Chafee 5.2% 6.7% 6.4% 6.5% 6.9% 7.5% 8.1% 8.1% 9.6% 10.7% 11.6% 9.9% 2.8%
Conor Lodge 4.3% 5.0% 3.5% 5.7% 4.9% 6.9% 7.0% 7.6% 9.2% 10.3% 11.2% 17.9% 6.5%
Emily Dellenbaugh 9.3% 7.3% 7.3% 10.2% 10.4% 8.5% 6.9% 8.4% 7.9% 8.0% 7.9% 5.5% 2.4%
Kyle Carney 7.6% 9.1% 8.8% 6.7% 9.5% 9.3% 9.2% 9.0% 8.5% 8.7% 6.3% 5.2% 2.1%
Andrew Meleny 4.5% 4.6% 4.6% 5.1% 6.7% 7.3% 6.0% 6.8% 9.9% 9.6% 12.9% 15.0% 7.0%
Jared Dunn 0.7% 0.8% 1.2% 0.6% 1.6% 0.8% 2.1% 2.0% 2.8% 3.0% 5.6% 11.3% 67.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.