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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.77+0.45vs Predicted
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2William and Mary-0.58+2.02vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.180.00vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-1.14+0.89vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech0.18-2.00vs Predicted
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6American University-1.49-0.67vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University-0.54-3.02vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-1.56-2.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.45Hampton University1.770.7%1st Place
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4.02William and Mary-0.580.1%1st Place
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3.0Virginia Tech0.180.1%1st Place
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4.89University of Maryland-1.140.0%1st Place
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3.0Virginia Tech0.180.1%1st Place
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5.33American University-1.490.0%1st Place
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3.98Christopher Newport University-0.540.1%1st Place
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5.33Catholic University of America-1.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerio Palamara | 68.2% | 22.4% | 6.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eric Johnson | 5.7% | 14.5% | 18.5% | 22.2% | 18.2% | 14.2% | 6.7% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 12.1% | 31.4% | 23.8% | 16.8% | 10.1% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Thonnard | 2.0% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 15.0% | 21.1% | 22.0% | 19.6% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 12.1% | 31.4% | 23.8% | 16.8% | 10.1% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Arey | 2.6% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 18.5% | 21.3% | 32.8% | 0.0% |
| Noah Hubbard | 6.4% | 13.1% | 21.4% | 21.5% | 17.3% | 13.4% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| Benedict Gorman | 3.0% | 5.0% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 14.4% | 24.6% | 32.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.