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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.77+0.48vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.18+0.94vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.18-0.06vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.58+0.06vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-1.14-0.08vs Predicted
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6American University-1.49-0.63vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-1.56-1.57vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University-0.54-4.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.48Hampton University1.770.7%1st Place
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2.94Virginia Tech0.180.1%1st Place
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2.94Virginia Tech0.180.1%1st Place
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4.06William and Mary-0.580.1%1st Place
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4.92University of Maryland-1.140.0%1st Place
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5.37American University-1.490.0%1st Place
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5.43Catholic University of America-1.560.0%1st Place
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3.82Christopher Newport University-0.540.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerio Palamara | 67.1% | 22.0% | 8.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 12.6% | 31.7% | 25.0% | 16.8% | 8.8% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 12.6% | 31.7% | 25.0% | 16.8% | 8.8% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Eric Johnson | 5.8% | 13.1% | 19.4% | 21.1% | 19.2% | 14.8% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Thonnard | 2.1% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 22.2% | 23.3% | 19.3% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Arey | 2.3% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 16.2% | 23.4% | 33.2% | 0.0% |
| Benedict Gorman | 2.4% | 4.0% | 7.7% | 12.8% | 15.6% | 22.5% | 35.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Hubbard | 7.7% | 15.6% | 19.4% | 23.2% | 17.4% | 12.1% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.