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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.77+0.48vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.18+0.96vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-1.14+1.84vs Predicted
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4Catholic University of America-1.56+1.49vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-0.58-0.94vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech0.18-3.04vs Predicted
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7American University-1.49-1.66vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University-0.54-4.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.48Hampton University1.770.7%1st Place
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2.96Virginia Tech0.180.1%1st Place
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4.84University of Maryland-1.140.0%1st Place
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5.49Catholic University of America-1.560.0%1st Place
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4.06William and Mary-0.580.1%1st Place
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2.96Virginia Tech0.180.1%1st Place
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5.34American University-1.490.0%1st Place
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3.84Christopher Newport University-0.540.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerio Palamara | 66.8% | 22.4% | 7.9% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 12.6% | 31.2% | 25.2% | 16.7% | 9.1% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Thonnard | 3.6% | 7.7% | 11.6% | 15.1% | 20.2% | 23.5% | 18.3% | 0.0% |
| Benedict Gorman | 0.9% | 4.7% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 14.7% | 24.3% | 35.6% | 0.0% |
| Eric Johnson | 5.6% | 13.6% | 20.1% | 19.2% | 20.4% | 13.7% | 7.4% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 12.6% | 31.2% | 25.2% | 16.7% | 9.1% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Arey | 2.8% | 4.4% | 8.4% | 13.3% | 14.9% | 24.3% | 31.9% | 0.0% |
| Noah Hubbard | 7.7% | 16.0% | 18.1% | 22.2% | 20.3% | 10.4% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.