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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.77+0.48vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.18+0.98vs Predicted
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3American University-1.49+2.31vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.58+0.08vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech0.18-2.02vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-1.14-1.16vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University-0.54-3.03vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-1.56-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.48Hampton University1.770.7%1st Place
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2.98Virginia Tech0.180.1%1st Place
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5.31American University-1.490.0%1st Place
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4.08William and Mary-0.580.1%1st Place
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2.98Virginia Tech0.180.1%1st Place
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4.84University of Maryland-1.140.0%1st Place
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3.97Christopher Newport University-0.540.1%1st Place
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5.35Catholic University of America-1.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerio Palamara | 66.2% | 23.7% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 13.3% | 29.5% | 25.3% | 17.2% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Arey | 2.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 18.1% | 21.5% | 32.9% | 0.0% |
| Eric Johnson | 5.0% | 14.1% | 17.8% | 22.0% | 19.8% | 14.3% | 7.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 13.3% | 29.5% | 25.3% | 17.2% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Thonnard | 3.8% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 16.9% | 18.4% | 22.5% | 19.4% | 0.0% |
| Noah Hubbard | 6.6% | 12.8% | 23.0% | 18.6% | 18.9% | 14.3% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Benedict Gorman | 2.2% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 15.8% | 22.4% | 33.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.