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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.09+2.25vs Predicted
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2William and Mary-0.58+1.93vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-1.14+1.81vs Predicted
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4Hampton University1.77-2.56vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.09-1.75vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University-0.54-2.02vs Predicted
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7American University-1.49-1.73vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-1.56-2.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.25Virginia Tech-0.090.1%1st Place
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3.93William and Mary-0.580.1%1st Place
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4.81University of Maryland-1.140.0%1st Place
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1.44Hampton University1.770.7%1st Place
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3.25Virginia Tech-0.090.1%1st Place
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3.98Christopher Newport University-0.540.1%1st Place
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5.27American University-1.490.0%1st Place
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5.31Catholic University of America-1.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Manternach | 12.1% | 26.0% | 21.8% | 18.2% | 11.7% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Johnson | 5.6% | 15.9% | 19.9% | 21.6% | 18.1% | 13.2% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Thonnard | 4.8% | 6.7% | 11.0% | 16.8% | 20.8% | 20.6% | 19.3% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 66.3% | 25.0% | 7.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Manternach | 12.1% | 26.0% | 21.8% | 18.2% | 11.7% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Hubbard | 5.5% | 14.0% | 22.9% | 18.7% | 19.2% | 13.1% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Arey | 2.7% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 17.1% | 22.6% | 31.0% | 0.0% |
| Benedict Gorman | 3.0% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 23.2% | 34.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.