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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.09+2.26vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland-1.14+2.79vs Predicted
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3Hampton University1.77-1.59vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-0.09-0.74vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-0.58-0.99vs Predicted
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6American University-1.49-0.69vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University-0.54-3.04vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-1.56-2.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.26Virginia Tech-0.090.1%1st Place
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4.79University of Maryland-1.140.0%1st Place
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1.41Hampton University1.770.7%1st Place
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3.26Virginia Tech-0.090.1%1st Place
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4.01William and Mary-0.580.1%1st Place
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5.31American University-1.490.0%1st Place
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3.96Christopher Newport University-0.540.1%1st Place
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5.26Catholic University of America-1.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Manternach | 11.1% | 26.9% | 21.8% | 17.8% | 12.4% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Thonnard | 3.3% | 7.4% | 13.5% | 16.6% | 20.1% | 20.1% | 19.0% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 69.1% | 23.9% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Manternach | 11.1% | 26.9% | 21.8% | 17.8% | 12.4% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Eric Johnson | 5.7% | 14.5% | 20.1% | 20.4% | 18.3% | 14.2% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Arey | 2.2% | 5.0% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 15.9% | 22.0% | 32.8% | 0.0% |
| Noah Hubbard | 5.3% | 15.8% | 19.7% | 22.6% | 16.6% | 13.0% | 7.0% | 0.0% |
| Benedict Gorman | 3.3% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 16.3% | 23.3% | 31.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.