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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Maryland-1.14+3.69vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-0.09+1.29vs Predicted
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3Hampton University1.77-1.59vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-0.09-0.71vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-0.58-0.97vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University-0.54-2.07vs Predicted
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7American University-1.49-1.68vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-1.56-2.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.69University of Maryland-1.140.0%1st Place
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3.29Virginia Tech-0.090.1%1st Place
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1.41Hampton University1.770.7%1st Place
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3.29Virginia Tech-0.090.1%1st Place
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4.03William and Mary-0.580.1%1st Place
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3.93Christopher Newport University-0.540.1%1st Place
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5.32American University-1.490.0%1st Place
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5.34Catholic University of America-1.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Thonnard | 4.0% | 9.8% | 14.4% | 13.6% | 19.2% | 21.3% | 17.7% | 0.0% |
| Luke Manternach | 10.4% | 24.8% | 23.3% | 20.2% | 12.2% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 69.0% | 23.3% | 5.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Manternach | 10.4% | 24.8% | 23.3% | 20.2% | 12.2% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Johnson | 5.6% | 14.2% | 19.5% | 20.0% | 21.1% | 12.7% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| Noah Hubbard | 5.7% | 15.9% | 19.7% | 23.1% | 16.5% | 12.5% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Arey | 2.4% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 16.7% | 23.7% | 31.8% | 0.0% |
| Benedict Gorman | 2.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 23.7% | 34.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.