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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.81+0.72vs Predicted
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2William and Mary-0.06+0.58vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-1.08+0.94vs Predicted
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4American University-1.07-0.06vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University-1.02-1.11vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-2.31-0.56vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-1.08-3.06vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-3.64-1.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.72Hampton University0.810.5%1st Place
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2.58William and Mary-0.060.2%1st Place
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3.94Virginia Tech-1.080.1%1st Place
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3.94American University-1.070.1%1st Place
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3.89Christopher Newport University-1.020.1%1st Place
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5.44University of Maryland-2.310.0%1st Place
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3.94Virginia Tech-1.080.1%1st Place
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6.49Catholic University of America-3.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Palamara | 53.9% | 27.7% | 12.9% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Dutilly | 22.1% | 30.8% | 24.7% | 13.9% | 6.3% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Heckler | 7.3% | 11.4% | 17.9% | 23.7% | 24.8% | 12.6% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Anika Liner | 7.1% | 12.6% | 17.7% | 21.8% | 25.8% | 13.0% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Walter Roou | 7.0% | 13.5% | 19.6% | 22.7% | 21.4% | 12.6% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Emma Retzlaff | 2.1% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 10.4% | 15.9% | 44.4% | 19.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Heckler | 7.3% | 11.4% | 17.9% | 23.7% | 24.8% | 12.6% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Faith Dickerson | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 14.7% | 73.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.