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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1William and Mary-0.06+1.62vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-1.08+1.89vs Predicted
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3Hampton University0.81-1.30vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University-1.02-0.12vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-1.08-1.11vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-2.31-0.55vs Predicted
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7American University-1.07-3.05vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-3.64-1.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.62William and Mary-0.060.2%1st Place
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3.89Virginia Tech-1.080.1%1st Place
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1.7Hampton University0.810.5%1st Place
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3.88Christopher Newport University-1.020.1%1st Place
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3.89Virginia Tech-1.080.1%1st Place
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5.45University of Maryland-2.310.0%1st Place
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3.95American University-1.070.1%1st Place
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6.51Catholic University of America-3.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Dutilly | 22.6% | 30.1% | 22.6% | 14.8% | 7.3% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Heckler | 7.9% | 10.3% | 21.2% | 23.3% | 22.5% | 12.3% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 52.7% | 30.7% | 12.0% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Walter Roou | 7.7% | 12.4% | 18.7% | 22.7% | 24.1% | 12.4% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Heckler | 7.9% | 10.3% | 21.2% | 23.3% | 22.5% | 12.3% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Emma Retzlaff | 1.4% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 15.7% | 45.3% | 18.8% | 0.0% |
| Anika Liner | 6.9% | 11.8% | 18.2% | 23.6% | 23.7% | 13.7% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Faith Dickerson | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 13.7% | 74.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.