Race 6A

george-morris

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Alex Cook 12.9% 12.9% 10.6% 10.8% 10.3% 8.7% 8.9% 8.3% 6.6% 4.7% 2.6% 2.3% 0.4%
Ben Greenfield 15.0% 13.9% 14.1% 11.2% 11.3% 8.5% 7.7% 6.2% 5.2% 3.6% 1.7% 1.3% 0.3%
Max Nickbarg 8.2% 8.2% 10.9% 9.6% 8.2% 9.6% 9.8% 8.5% 8.9% 7.8% 5.1% 3.9% 1.3%
Quentin Chafee 5.3% 6.4% 6.0% 6.8% 7.0% 7.7% 7.3% 9.5% 9.6% 9.5% 10.6% 9.9% 4.4%
Andrew Meleny 5.8% 4.4% 5.0% 6.6% 6.0% 7.0% 6.4% 8.2% 7.2% 11.6% 12.3% 14.0% 5.5%
Kyle Carney 8.1% 8.1% 7.1% 8.8% 7.5% 8.8% 9.6% 8.4% 8.0% 8.2% 7.5% 8.0% 1.9%
Colin Santangelo 6.3% 5.4% 7.3% 4.5% 7.1% 6.1% 7.8% 8.4% 7.8% 10.4% 13.2% 11.6% 4.1%
Bernie Roesler 9.2% 10.6% 9.4% 8.9% 9.7% 9.5% 9.9% 9.6% 7.1% 5.6% 5.7% 3.9% 0.9%
Conor Lodge 4.7% 5.2% 3.7% 5.1% 6.5% 5.7% 5.7% 7.7% 9.9% 11.1% 11.1% 16.3% 7.3%
Emily Dellenbaugh 9.1% 7.7% 8.6% 8.1% 9.7% 9.1% 7.9% 7.2% 9.5% 7.8% 7.3% 5.7% 2.3%
Connor Needham 8.2% 9.4% 9.3% 10.7% 7.2% 9.9% 10.4% 7.9% 7.8% 6.7% 6.0% 5.2% 1.3%
Krysta Rohde 6.4% 7.2% 6.9% 8.1% 8.1% 8.2% 7.3% 8.0% 9.4% 10.0% 10.8% 7.8% 1.8%
Jared Dunn 0.8% 0.6% 1.1% 0.8% 1.4% 1.2% 1.3% 2.1% 3.0% 3.0% 6.1% 10.1% 68.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.