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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.81+0.77vs Predicted
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2William and Mary-0.06+0.64vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-1.08+1.03vs Predicted
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4American University-1.07+0.05vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-1.08-0.97vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-1.84-0.98vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University-1.02-3.08vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-3.64-1.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.77Hampton University0.810.5%1st Place
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2.64William and Mary-0.060.2%1st Place
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4.03Virginia Tech-1.080.1%1st Place
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4.05American University-1.070.1%1st Place
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4.03Virginia Tech-1.080.1%1st Place
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5.02University of Maryland-1.840.0%1st Place
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3.92Christopher Newport University-1.020.1%1st Place
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6.56Catholic University of America-3.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Palamara | 53.0% | 26.8% | 13.1% | 5.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Dutilly | 21.0% | 30.9% | 23.7% | 15.1% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Heckler | 7.0% | 11.0% | 17.4% | 22.4% | 23.4% | 16.1% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Anika Liner | 6.6% | 13.0% | 15.4% | 21.4% | 24.1% | 16.1% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Heckler | 7.0% | 11.0% | 17.4% | 22.4% | 23.4% | 16.1% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Carter Saunders | 3.5% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 12.7% | 19.7% | 37.7% | 12.3% | 0.0% |
| Walter Roou | 8.3% | 12.0% | 20.0% | 20.4% | 20.0% | 16.7% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Faith Dickerson | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 10.2% | 78.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.