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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1William and Mary-0.06+1.39vs Predicted
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2Hampton University-0.13+0.46vs Predicted
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3American University-1.07+0.82vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-1.29+0.16vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-1.29-0.84vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-1.84-1.09vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University-1.02-3.26vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-3.64-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.39William and Mary-0.060.3%1st Place
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2.46Hampton University-0.130.3%1st Place
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3.82American University-1.070.1%1st Place
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4.16Virginia Tech-1.290.1%1st Place
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4.16Virginia Tech-1.290.1%1st Place
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4.91University of Maryland-1.840.0%1st Place
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3.74Christopher Newport University-1.020.1%1st Place
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6.52Catholic University of America-3.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Dutilly | 34.2% | 26.0% | 18.2% | 12.7% | 6.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tommaso Ciaglia | 29.4% | 28.8% | 19.8% | 13.8% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Anika Liner | 10.3% | 12.9% | 18.6% | 20.3% | 20.6% | 14.8% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 8.8% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 18.0% | 23.5% | 20.4% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 8.8% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 18.0% | 23.5% | 20.4% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Carter Saunders | 4.8% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 20.6% | 34.8% | 12.1% | 0.0% |
| Walter Roou | 11.3% | 14.2% | 19.3% | 19.6% | 18.0% | 15.2% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Faith Dickerson | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 10.0% | 77.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.