← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1William and Mary-0.06+1.38vs Predicted
-
2American University-1.07+1.73vs Predicted
-
3University of Maryland-1.84+1.91vs Predicted
-
4Virginia Tech-1.29+0.14vs Predicted
-
5Christopher Newport University-1.02-1.20vs Predicted
-
6Hampton University-0.13-3.48vs Predicted
-
7Virginia Tech-1.29-2.86vs Predicted
-
8Catholic University of America-3.64-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.38William and Mary-0.060.3%1st Place
-
3.73American University-1.070.1%1st Place
-
4.91University of Maryland-1.840.1%1st Place
-
4.14Virginia Tech-1.290.1%1st Place
-
3.8Christopher Newport University-1.020.1%1st Place
-
2.52Hampton University-0.130.3%1st Place
-
4.14Virginia Tech-1.290.1%1st Place
-
6.52Catholic University of America-3.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Dutilly | 33.9% | 25.5% | 19.1% | 14.0% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Anika Liner | 11.2% | 15.4% | 17.9% | 19.0% | 19.6% | 15.1% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Carter Saunders | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 13.0% | 19.7% | 36.4% | 11.5% | 0.0% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 9.2% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 18.0% | 23.8% | 19.7% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Walter Roou | 10.6% | 14.2% | 18.6% | 19.8% | 18.7% | 14.4% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Tommaso Ciaglia | 29.1% | 26.5% | 20.7% | 13.4% | 8.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 9.2% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 18.0% | 23.8% | 19.7% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Faith Dickerson | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 10.4% | 77.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.