← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hampton University-0.13+1.36vs Predicted
-
2American University-1.07+1.68vs Predicted
-
3Virginia Tech-1.63+1.51vs Predicted
-
4William and Mary-0.06-1.59vs Predicted
-
5University of Maryland-1.84-0.15vs Predicted
-
6Virginia Tech-1.63-1.49vs Predicted
-
7Christopher Newport University-1.02-3.31vs Predicted
-
8Catholic University of America-3.64-1.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.36Hampton University-0.130.3%1st Place
-
3.68American University-1.070.1%1st Place
-
4.51Virginia Tech-1.630.1%1st Place
-
2.41William and Mary-0.060.3%1st Place
-
4.85University of Maryland-1.840.0%1st Place
-
4.51Virginia Tech-1.630.1%1st Place
-
3.69Christopher Newport University-1.020.1%1st Place
-
6.5Catholic University of America-3.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommaso Ciaglia | 33.7% | 27.4% | 18.8% | 11.9% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Anika Liner | 11.0% | 15.0% | 20.2% | 20.3% | 17.9% | 13.7% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Sam Springer | 7.0% | 7.1% | 12.0% | 16.0% | 25.0% | 25.3% | 7.6% | 0.0% |
| Sam Dutilly | 31.5% | 26.7% | 20.1% | 14.2% | 6.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carter Saunders | 4.4% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 21.7% | 33.1% | 11.4% | 0.0% |
| Sam Springer | 7.0% | 7.1% | 12.0% | 16.0% | 25.0% | 25.3% | 7.6% | 0.0% |
| Walter Roou | 11.3% | 15.6% | 17.5% | 22.2% | 17.8% | 13.4% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Faith Dickerson | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 5.6% | 11.1% | 76.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.