← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Virginia Tech-1.63+3.45vs Predicted
-
2William and Mary-0.06+0.34vs Predicted
-
3American University-1.07+0.73vs Predicted
-
4University of Maryland-1.84+0.85vs Predicted
-
5Hampton University-0.13-2.52vs Predicted
-
6Christopher Newport University-1.02-2.35vs Predicted
-
7Virginia Tech-1.63-2.55vs Predicted
-
8Catholic University of America-3.64-1.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.45Virginia Tech-1.630.1%1st Place
-
2.34William and Mary-0.060.3%1st Place
-
3.73American University-1.070.1%1st Place
-
4.85University of Maryland-1.840.0%1st Place
-
2.48Hampton University-0.130.3%1st Place
-
3.65Christopher Newport University-1.020.1%1st Place
-
4.45Virginia Tech-1.630.1%1st Place
-
6.5Catholic University of America-3.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Springer | 7.3% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 18.4% | 20.2% | 26.9% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Dutilly | 33.2% | 27.8% | 21.0% | 10.8% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Anika Liner | 10.9% | 13.5% | 18.3% | 22.3% | 21.0% | 11.6% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Carter Saunders | 4.4% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 21.5% | 34.1% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| Tommaso Ciaglia | 29.6% | 28.0% | 19.7% | 12.6% | 8.0% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Walter Roou | 13.4% | 14.6% | 16.9% | 20.1% | 20.2% | 12.9% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Sam Springer | 7.3% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 18.4% | 20.2% | 26.9% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| Faith Dickerson | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 10.3% | 77.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.