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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1William and Mary-0.06+1.40vs Predicted
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2Hampton University-0.13+0.47vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-1.29+1.12vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University-1.02-0.24vs Predicted
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5American University-1.07-1.14vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-1.29-1.88vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-1.84-2.12vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-3.64-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.4William and Mary-0.060.3%1st Place
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2.47Hampton University-0.130.3%1st Place
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4.12Virginia Tech-1.290.1%1st Place
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3.76Christopher Newport University-1.020.1%1st Place
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3.86American University-1.070.1%1st Place
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4.12Virginia Tech-1.290.1%1st Place
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4.88University of Maryland-1.840.1%1st Place
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6.52Catholic University of America-3.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Dutilly | 34.8% | 24.8% | 18.6% | 12.3% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tommaso Ciaglia | 29.6% | 28.3% | 19.9% | 12.7% | 6.7% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 8.5% | 10.9% | 15.6% | 19.1% | 21.8% | 19.6% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Walter Roou | 11.2% | 15.0% | 16.9% | 19.8% | 20.4% | 14.3% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Anika Liner | 9.6% | 14.3% | 17.7% | 20.0% | 19.6% | 15.2% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 8.5% | 10.9% | 15.6% | 19.1% | 21.8% | 19.6% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Carter Saunders | 5.2% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 20.3% | 35.5% | 11.2% | 0.0% |
| Faith Dickerson | 1.1% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 10.3% | 77.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.