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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1William and Mary-0.06+1.41vs Predicted
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2Hampton University-0.13+0.45vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University-1.02+0.76vs Predicted
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4American University-1.07-0.17vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-1.29-0.83vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-1.29-1.83vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-1.84-2.14vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-3.64-1.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.41William and Mary-0.060.3%1st Place
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2.45Hampton University-0.130.3%1st Place
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3.76Christopher Newport University-1.020.1%1st Place
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3.83American University-1.070.1%1st Place
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4.17Virginia Tech-1.290.1%1st Place
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4.17Virginia Tech-1.290.1%1st Place
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4.86University of Maryland-1.840.1%1st Place
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6.51Catholic University of America-3.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Dutilly | 34.4% | 24.4% | 19.3% | 12.4% | 6.8% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tommaso Ciaglia | 29.7% | 29.1% | 19.4% | 13.0% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Walter Roou | 10.7% | 13.0% | 20.1% | 20.6% | 19.8% | 12.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Anika Liner | 11.0% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 19.6% | 21.9% | 15.0% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 8.1% | 11.4% | 14.5% | 18.5% | 20.9% | 21.6% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 8.1% | 11.4% | 14.5% | 18.5% | 20.9% | 21.6% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Saunders | 5.0% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 20.0% | 35.2% | 11.1% | 0.0% |
| Faith Dickerson | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 10.4% | 77.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.