Race 7A

george-morris

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Ben Greenfield 15.2% 14.6% 13.1% 11.1% 10.1% 9.8% 8.6% 5.0% 4.9% 4.6% 1.8% 1.0% 0.2%
Bernie Roesler 9.0% 9.2% 10.6% 9.8% 10.2% 8.7% 8.2% 9.0% 6.7% 7.6% 6.5% 3.9% 0.6%
Alex Cook 12.0% 11.8% 12.5% 10.6% 10.4% 8.7% 10.9% 7.3% 4.9% 5.2% 3.5% 1.8% 0.4%
Kyle Carney 7.9% 7.0% 7.2% 8.7% 9.4% 6.8% 8.9% 8.8% 9.7% 8.7% 8.2% 6.8% 1.9%
Krysta Rohde 7.9% 6.9% 7.9% 8.8% 7.8% 7.3% 7.3% 8.7% 10.5% 9.4% 6.7% 8.8% 2.0%
Emily Dellenbaugh 8.6% 8.1% 8.7% 7.9% 9.5% 9.1% 9.8% 9.4% 7.3% 6.3% 7.3% 6.8% 1.2%
Connor Needham 9.4% 9.4% 8.9% 7.1% 9.1% 8.6% 7.8% 9.4% 8.6% 7.9% 7.8% 4.3% 1.7%
Andrew Meleny 4.6% 5.9% 4.2% 6.0% 5.6% 7.7% 7.0% 7.7% 9.3% 10.4% 12.6% 13.2% 5.8%
Quentin Chafee 5.6% 6.0% 5.3% 7.9% 6.2% 7.3% 7.2% 8.9% 10.4% 9.4% 10.3% 10.8% 4.7%
Conor Lodge 5.8% 3.8% 4.6% 5.5% 6.0% 7.7% 6.4% 7.7% 8.0% 10.0% 11.2% 16.3% 7.0%
Max Nickbarg 9.2% 10.9% 10.1% 10.2% 8.2% 10.5% 8.7% 8.0% 7.2% 6.8% 5.3% 3.9% 1.0%
Jared Dunn 0.6% 1.0% 0.8% 1.3% 1.3% 1.2% 1.7% 2.0% 3.3% 3.4% 6.3% 9.5% 67.6%
Colin Santangelo 4.2% 5.4% 6.1% 5.1% 6.2% 6.6% 7.5% 8.1% 9.2% 10.3% 12.5% 12.9% 5.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.