Race 1 - neisaperformancerankhatchbrown | College Sailing Data

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

100.0%

Within 2 Positions

0.4

Avg Position Diff

4

Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

1

Aidan Cunningham & Caroline Sibilly

Boston College

2.75

+0.48

vs Predicted
2

Aiana Cayao & Harlan Brady

U. S. Coast Guard Academy

1.73

+0.25

vs Predicted
3

Adam Larzelere & Adelaide Straub

Tufts University

1.61

-0.62

vs Predicted
4

Caleb Adams-Hull & Alex Bloom

Bowdoin College

-1.03

-0.11

vs Predicted

🎯 Predicted Standings

1.48

Aidan Cunningham & Caroline Sibilly

Boston College

2.75

0.6%

1st Place
2.25

Aiana Cayao & Harlan Brady

U. S. Coast Guard Academy

1.73

0.2%

1st Place
2.38

Adam Larzelere & Adelaide Straub

Tufts University

1.61

0.2%

1st Place
3.89

Caleb Adams-Hull & Alex Bloom

Bowdoin College

-1.03

0.0%

1st Place

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper	1	2	3	4
Aidan Cunningham	61.7%	29.3%	8.4%	0.6%
Aiana Cayao	20.2%	36.9%	40.6%	2.3%
Adam Larzelere	17.5%	31.9%	45.3%	5.3%
Caleb Adams-Hull	0.6%	1.9%	5.7%	91.8%

Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.