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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.36+0.40vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.79+0.55vs Predicted
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3The Citadel0.20+0.14vs Predicted
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4University of South Carolina-1.43+0.77vs Predicted
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5Duke University-0.18-1.35vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-2.26-0.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.4College of Charleston2.360.7%1st Place
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2.55Clemson University0.790.2%1st Place
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3.14The Citadel0.200.1%1st Place
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4.77University of South Carolina-1.430.0%1st Place
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3.65Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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5.49North Carolina State University-2.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 69.4% | 22.8% | 6.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 16.6% | 36.0% | 27.7% | 15.3% | 4.1% | 0.3% |
| Kenneth Buck | 8.9% | 19.7% | 33.1% | 26.5% | 10.6% | 1.2% |
| Alana Vodicka | 0.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 17.3% | 44.4% | 25.9% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 3.9% | 15.1% | 22.9% | 33.8% | 19.0% | 5.3% |
| Joe Lewandowski | 0.4% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 21.8% | 67.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.