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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.36+0.41vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.79+0.57vs Predicted
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3Duke University-0.18+0.52vs Predicted
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4The Citadel0.20-0.84vs Predicted
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5University of South Carolina-1.43-0.15vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-2.26-0.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.41College of Charleston2.360.7%1st Place
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2.57Clemson University0.790.2%1st Place
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3.52Duke University-0.180.1%1st Place
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3.16The Citadel0.200.1%1st Place
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4.85University of South Carolina-1.430.0%1st Place
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5.48North Carolina State University-2.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 69.6% | 21.4% | 7.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 15.5% | 36.5% | 29.0% | 14.0% | 4.4% | 0.6% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 6.2% | 14.6% | 22.5% | 36.7% | 17.2% | 2.8% |
| Kenneth Buck | 7.4% | 21.2% | 32.0% | 28.0% | 10.0% | 1.4% |
| Alana Vodicka | 0.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 13.5% | 45.4% | 29.2% |
| Joe Lewandowski | 0.4% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 6.8% | 22.9% | 66.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.