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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.36+0.41vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.79+0.55vs Predicted
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3The Citadel0.20+0.12vs Predicted
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4Duke University-0.18-0.43vs Predicted
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5University of South Carolina-1.43-0.15vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-2.26-0.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.41College of Charleston2.360.7%1st Place
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2.55Clemson University0.790.2%1st Place
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3.12The Citadel0.200.1%1st Place
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3.57Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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4.85University of South Carolina-1.430.0%1st Place
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5.5North Carolina State University-2.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 69.3% | 22.1% | 7.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 15.7% | 37.7% | 28.0% | 13.8% | 4.2% | 0.6% |
| Kenneth Buck | 9.1% | 20.9% | 30.3% | 29.1% | 9.6% | 1.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 4.6% | 13.2% | 24.8% | 37.7% | 17.1% | 2.6% |
| Alana Vodicka | 0.9% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 46.1% | 29.2% |
| Joe Lewandowski | 0.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 6.4% | 22.9% | 66.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.