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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.36+0.37vs Predicted
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2Duke University-0.18+1.56vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.79-0.43vs Predicted
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4The Citadel0.20-0.83vs Predicted
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5University of South Carolina-1.43-0.15vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-2.26-0.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.37College of Charleston2.360.7%1st Place
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3.56Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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2.57Clemson University0.790.1%1st Place
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3.17The Citadel0.200.1%1st Place
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4.85University of South Carolina-1.430.0%1st Place
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5.49North Carolina State University-2.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 71.3% | 21.6% | 6.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 4.3% | 15.2% | 26.2% | 32.3% | 18.6% | 3.4% |
| Nilah Miller | 14.8% | 36.9% | 28.8% | 16.1% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Kenneth Buck | 8.2% | 19.9% | 30.6% | 30.8% | 9.2% | 1.3% |
| Alana Vodicka | 1.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 13.9% | 45.8% | 28.7% |
| Joe Lewandowski | 0.4% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 6.1% | 23.3% | 66.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.