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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.36+0.41vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.79+0.56vs Predicted
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3Duke University-0.18+0.54vs Predicted
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4The Citadel0.20-0.82vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-2.26+0.49vs Predicted
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6University of South Carolina-1.43-1.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.41College of Charleston2.360.7%1st Place
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2.56Clemson University0.790.2%1st Place
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3.54Duke University-0.180.1%1st Place
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3.18The Citadel0.200.1%1st Place
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5.49North Carolina State University-2.260.0%1st Place
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4.83University of South Carolina-1.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 69.4% | 21.8% | 7.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 15.7% | 37.5% | 27.2% | 14.9% | 4.4% | 0.3% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 6.1% | 14.6% | 22.6% | 35.9% | 17.6% | 3.2% |
| Kenneth Buck | 7.3% | 20.6% | 33.0% | 26.8% | 11.0% | 1.3% |
| Joe Lewandowski | 0.5% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 19.7% | 68.8% |
| Alana Vodicka | 1.0% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 15.6% | 47.2% | 26.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.