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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.36+0.40vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.79+0.54vs Predicted
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3The Citadel0.20+0.14vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University-2.26+1.46vs Predicted
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5Duke University-0.18-1.38vs Predicted
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6University of South Carolina-1.43-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.4College of Charleston2.360.7%1st Place
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2.54Clemson University0.790.2%1st Place
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3.14The Citadel0.200.1%1st Place
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5.46North Carolina State University-2.260.0%1st Place
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3.62Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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4.84University of South Carolina-1.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 69.3% | 23.1% | 6.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 16.6% | 37.1% | 26.7% | 14.7% | 4.8% | 0.1% |
| Kenneth Buck | 8.9% | 19.8% | 32.0% | 27.9% | 10.2% | 1.2% |
| Joe Lewandowski | 0.3% | 1.6% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 20.3% | 66.7% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 3.9% | 15.3% | 23.3% | 34.0% | 19.3% | 4.2% |
| Alana Vodicka | 1.0% | 3.1% | 7.9% | 14.9% | 45.3% | 27.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.