Race 8A

george-morris

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Alex Cook 12.6% 13.4% 11.5% 10.8% 8.8% 9.1% 9.8% 7.5% 6.2% 4.5% 2.8% 2.1% 0.9%
Ben Greenfield 15.5% 14.1% 13.2% 12.5% 10.4% 8.3% 6.8% 7.4% 5.1% 2.9% 2.0% 1.7% 0.1%
Quentin Chafee 4.7% 5.8% 6.6% 7.2% 7.3% 8.0% 7.9% 7.8% 10.3% 9.7% 10.7% 10.9% 3.1%
Emily Dellenbaugh 7.4% 9.3% 8.3% 9.6% 8.0% 8.0% 8.3% 9.5% 7.5% 9.7% 7.1% 5.6% 1.7%
Andrew Meleny 5.8% 5.0% 5.4% 5.0% 6.8% 6.3% 7.2% 7.3% 9.3% 8.6% 14.5% 13.7% 5.1%
Conor Lodge 5.2% 5.3% 3.7% 5.2% 5.9% 7.6% 6.2% 7.3% 9.0% 10.0% 11.3% 15.8% 7.5%
Connor Needham 9.0% 8.6% 9.2% 7.8% 8.3% 9.8% 9.7% 7.3% 7.7% 9.2% 7.5% 4.5% 1.4%
Bernie Roesler 10.3% 9.4% 9.0% 10.1% 9.6% 9.5% 8.4% 9.2% 8.1% 6.2% 5.4% 3.7% 1.1%
Kyle Carney 8.1% 6.1% 7.9% 9.6% 7.9% 7.1% 9.6% 8.9% 8.3% 8.1% 7.9% 7.9% 2.6%
Jared Dunn 0.5% 0.8% 1.7% 1.7% 1.6% 1.9% 1.7% 1.5% 3.1% 2.5% 5.0% 11.4% 66.6%
Krysta Rohde 7.3% 7.8% 9.3% 7.7% 7.5% 8.8% 8.9% 8.5% 9.4% 8.8% 8.3% 5.5% 2.2%
Colin Santangelo 4.8% 5.3% 4.6% 5.4% 8.3% 6.0% 6.9% 7.6% 8.7% 11.7% 11.5% 12.6% 6.6%
Max Nickbarg 8.8% 9.1% 9.6% 7.4% 9.6% 9.6% 8.6% 10.2% 7.3% 8.1% 6.0% 4.6% 1.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.