← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Maine Maritime Academy0.41+1.08vs Predicted
-
2Salve Regina University-0.79+1.16vs Predicted
-
3Bates College-0.40-0.42vs Predicted
-
4University of New Hampshire0.10-1.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.08Maine Maritime Academy0.4136.0%1st Place
-
3.16Salve Regina University-0.7910.7%1st Place
-
2.58Bates College-0.4021.2%1st Place
-
2.18University of New Hampshire0.1032.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henri Richardsson | 36.0% | 30.3% | 23.3% | 10.4% |
| Sean Morrison | 10.7% | 14.9% | 22.4% | 52.0% |
| Cameron Frary | 21.2% | 24.5% | 29.2% | 25.1% |
| Sam Harris | 32.1% | 30.3% | 25.1% | 12.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.